ASHINGTON, June 1 — When the director of
the F.B.I., Robert S. Mueller III, acknowledged on Wednesday
that the agency had missed warning signals on terrorism, he
stunned many Americans. But his statement was not news to some
veterans of the agency — or lawmakers who now say they treated
the F.B.I. with too much deference for too many years.
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These officials say the F.B.I., despite efforts to
strengthen its counterterrorism programs over the last decade,
and despite hefty increases in its budget, never developed a
nimble enough structure, analytic capability or sense of
mission to foil terrorist plots before they were carried out.
Interviews with nearly two dozen current and former F.B.I.,
Justice Department and intelligence officials, many of them at
a senior level, suggest that Mr. Mueller faces many hurdles in
fulfilling his promise to transform the agency's rigid,
risk-averse culture into the kind of terror prevention agency
he foresees. Some officials even question whether the bureau
can be salvaged, or whether it should be broken apart so that
the government can create a domestic intelligence agency
separate from the F.B.I.
"There's got to be follow-through on this reorganization,"
said Robert S. Bryant, a former deputy F.B.I. director. "This
isn't a law enforcement issue. We are at war. We've got to get
more information. There has to be discipline to stay at it and
pull it all together from the F.B.I. and other sources in the
government."
In announcing the reorganization this past week, Mr.
Mueller said the bureau would hire 400 more analysts,
including 25 officers to be borrowed from the Central
Intelligence Agency. He also announced plans to establish
"flying squads" of terrorism experts based at F.B.I.
headquarters, who would feed intelligence to field offices.
In an interview today, Mr. Mueller said the changes would
vastly enhance the F.B.I.'s ability to thwart terrorists. He
offered no assurance that the bureau would ever eliminate all
terrorist threats.
Still, he said his reorganization proposal — unlike past
restructuring efforts — had a better chance of success because
the hijackings drove home the realization that change cannot
wait.
"It's a combination of circumstances, but I'm certain that
Sept. 11 has had a dramatic effect on every member of the
F.B.I. to do everything we can to prevent any additional
terrorist attacks," he said. "So there is an openness and
willingness to change and a new understanding of the threats
we face in the future."
Agents realize, Mr. Mueller said, that the old criteria for
success within the F.B.I. no longer apply.
"We've come to understand that we are not going to be
judged in the future by how many successful prosecutions we
have of terrorists, but will be judged by our capacity to
prevent additional terrorist attacks," he said. "It's picking
up information that may assist in preventing terrorist attacks
and moving it to where it can help."
Hiring hundreds more agents, analysts and linguists may be
the easiest fix. Far more difficult, many officials say, is
the challenge of remaking the F.B.I.'s dysfunctional
bureaucracy.
"Twenty-five years ago, the thought was you had to tame
down the F.B.I., they were out of control," one retired senior
F.B.I. official said.
"But in the last 15 years, we have become a very docile,
don't-take-any-risks agency, particularly at headquarters. And
if you make a mistake and it blows up in your face, then your
career is shot, because basically it's one strike and you are
out of the F.B.I. All that has to change."
One indicator of the paralytic fear of risk-taking was how
F.B.I. headquarters responded to the memorandum written last
July by an agent from Phoenix. The agent, Kenneth J. Williams,
urged a broad survey of American aviation schools based on his
concern that Middle Eastern men, possibly connected to Osama
bin Laden, were training at a flight school in Arizona.
But officials at headquarters rejected his proposal. Mr.
Mueller has said that the plan was deferred for lack of
resources. But other officials pointed to another reason: the
worry that such an effort might be criticized in Congress as
racial profiling. Mr. Williams's idea died, until after the
Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.
The problems have been apparent for years. In 1999, the
chief of the F.B.I.'s counterterrorism unit, Dale Watson,
concluded that too few agents around the country were working
to thwart terrorism. In March 2000, he convened a meeting at
headquarters of the agents in charge of all 56 field offices.
Some agents called the meeting "Terrorism 101" or "Terrorism
for Dummies."
Mr. Watson and other senior officials were startled to
learn how little some bureau offices around the country,
operating independently of headquarters, had done to
investigate terrorism.
Even after the meeting, in the months before Sept. 11,
senior agents at headquarters were reduced to repeatedly
cajoling the special agents in charge of the field offices to
work harder on counterterrorism inquiries. They even
threatened to withhold managers' raises and bonuses if they
did not pay more attention to the problem.
Beyond the issue of whether the agency can fix itself is a
political question.
Will Mr. Mueller, a former United States attorney, and his
top deputies maintain the support of the Bush administration,
particularly in the face of skeptical Congressional inquiries
into what they knew and when they knew it in the weeks and
months before Sept. 11?
The F.B.I.'s current state — so unready, so unprepared and
so unable to assess the accumulating warning signs of the
hijackings — is the result of years of neglect by the
successors to J. Edgar Hoover, who ran the agency for 48
years. Each director missed repeated opportunities to change a
law enforcement agency that many critics believe was better
suited to catching criminals of the Bonnie and Clyde era than
trying to prevent crimes plotted by Osama bin Laden's
terrorism network.